Statistical note
Quantiles and percentiles
Quantiles and percentiles: theory, interpretation, Python computation, and a scientific-imaging case study.
A probability distribution specifies how probability is assigned across possible values. Its parameters determine location, spread, shape, or event rate.
Mathematical definition
The central quantity is
This expression states what is being counted, averaged, ranked, or compared. Its scale and direction must be interpreted in the context of the data and sampling design.
Compute it in Python
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats
x = np.array([4, 7, 8, 9, 15, 21])
print(np.quantile(x, [0.25, 0.5, 0.75]))
The function is numpy.quantile. Inspect its current signature and return object in the official documentation for the version installed in your environment.
Interpretation and cautions
Check support, parameterization, and independence before interpreting fitted probabilities. A mathematically convenient family is not evidence that the data-generating process follows it.
A numerical value is not self-interpreting. Compare it with a baseline, uncertainty interval, operational threshold, or competing model, and retain the underlying observations or confusion counts.
Scientific-imaging case study
Modeling thresholds dividing ordered probability mass can help describe microscopy measurements, but validate the fit by acquisition batch and biological replicate.
Split train, validation, and test data at the specimen or experimental level. Report variability across independent repeats so that the metric describes generalization rather than leakage.